"Surprise in Trzaskowski's staff". Details of internal survey leaked

A surprise in Rafał Trzaskowski's campaign - Onet claims. New internal poll results are supposed to show that in connection with the so-called bachelor party scandal "Karol Nawrocki is losing, but not by much". - This is a drop of about one, maybe 1.5 percentage points - reveals the portal journalist Kamil Dziubka. The difference in the first round of the presidential elections is supposed to be several percentage points. In the second round, the distribution of forces is supposed to be 53 to 47 percent in favor of the mayor of Warsaw.

The PiS candidate for president was not supposed to lose too much, because the electorate of Law and Justice - as well as the Civic Coalition - is "set in stone". Nawrocki's voters were supposed to believe the message pushed by Jarosław Kaczyński and the media sympathetic to the right, that the case was allegedly created by the secret services. As it was noted, the president of the Institute of National Remembrance "can probably sleep soundly".

The latest poll by Trzaskowski's staff after the Nawrocki scandal. All eyes on Mentzen

Trzaskowski's team, however, draws attention to Sławomir Mentzen's behavior after the scandal broke out. It concerns an unequivocal attack on Nawrocki, which did not happen throughout the campaign and "seemed like a natural move" due to the similar electorate. According to Onet, "this may be a key issue when it comes to the second round." The KO candidate for president's people expected from the beginning that the difference in the second round would be minimal.

The key will be the behavior of Mentzen's electorate, who his supporters will vote for or maybe stay at home. According to other research for Trzaskowski's staff, conducted about two weeks ago, the scenario from five years ago may repeat itself, when Krzysztof Bosak's voters were divided almost equally in the second round. Nawrocki, on the other hand, is supposed to have bad ratings, especially with women.