Heavy truck sales in Mexico to fall 33% by July 2025: AMDA

In July 2025, the Mexican heavy-duty truck market experienced a significant decline, with sales down 33% year-over-year. According to the Mexican Association of Automotive Distributors (AMDA), 3,377 units were sold, or 1,682 fewer trucks than in July 2024. This decline confirms a worrying trend for the sector, which had already been showing signs of slowdown since the beginning of the year.

Between January and July 2025, cumulative sales totaled 23,926 units, a 24.6% drop compared to the same period in 2024. The decline affects almost all categories:

• Cargo trucks: down 37%
• Tractor trucks: 53% drop
• Intercity buses: 63% drop
• Urban buses: the only segment with growth, +13%

Guillermo Rosales, AMDA's executive president, points out that this decline is not only due to traditional economic factors such as the exchange rate or GDP, but is also related to low domestic demand and uncertainty about the future of the USMCA.

Domestic production also reflects this contraction: the National Association of Bus, Truck, and Tractor-Trailer Producers (Anpact) reported 21,517 units manufactured in July, representing a 55% reduction compared to 2024.

Exports suffered a 51% drop, with the cargo truck segment affected by 66%. In total, 16,266 vehicles were exported through July, a 20% decrease compared to the same period last year.

Rogelio Arzate, executive president of Anpact, described the situation as "a sandwich" where the sector is under pressure from both the import of used trucks from the United States and the contraction of the domestic market.

To reverse this trend, Anpact proposes:

• Tax incentives for fleet renewal
• Accelerated deduction on the purchase of new trucks
• Regulation and containment of the importation of used vehicles
• Promoting exports to markets such as Colombia, Chile, Peru and Ecuador

The immediate future also depends on the renegotiation and clarity of the terms of the USMCA, which will have a decisive impact on demand and market stability.

The decline in the sale, production, and export of heavy trucks in Mexico reflects a challenging economic and trade environment. Outlook for 2025 and 2026 remains low unless concrete measures are implemented to support the industry and the trade framework with the United States is stabilized. The sector urgently needs rapid responses to maintain competitiveness in the region.