When will TÜİK (Turkish Statistical Institute) release inflation rates? What is the inflation expectation for August 2025? Inflation expectations for 2025

All eyes are on the Turkish Statistical Institute for inflation data, which directly impacts wage and rent increases for millions in the Turkish economy. August figures will be released at 10:00 a.m. on Wednesday, September 3, 2025. The figures announced by TÜİK will be used as a basis for both civil servant raise inflation calculations and rent increase inflation calculations.

AUGUST 2025 INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AND SURVEY RESULTS

According to a market participant survey published by the Central Bank, inflation expectations for August 2025 were 29.66% in the previous period, but in the latest survey, they rose to 29.69%. Participants' 12-month CPI expectations were 22.84% and 24-month CPI expectations were 16.92%. These figures indicate that markets are anticipating a gradual decline in inflation.

CENTRAL BANK INFLATION FORECAST

Fatih Karahan, Governor of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, recently shared the Central Bank's inflation forecast. Karahan stated that they project inflation to be between 25% and 29% by the end of 2025, with this rate expected to fall to between 13% and 19% by the end of 2026. Karahan stated, "We will resolutely maintain our tight monetary policy stance until price stability is achieved."

These forecasts suggest that the tight monetary policy stance will continue, while also targeting a gradual decline in inflation. Furthermore, reduced global uncertainty and a rebalancing of domestic demand are expected to support this process.

Civil Servant Salary Increases and Their Effects on Rent Increases

Inflation rates announced by TÜİK (Turkish Statistical Institute) are directly used to determine civil servant raises and pensions. Furthermore, rent increases are calculated based on the 12-month average inflation rate, so the data is also crucial for landlords and tenants.

(LIBERTY)

Source: NEWS CENTER