Federal election results: were the pollsters right?

Following an election night that was closer than some expected, with disappointments but also surprises for most bets, Jean-Marc Léger maintains that Monday's results are rather similar to his firm's projections.

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"Across Canada, the Liberal Party was measured at 43 and ended up at 43.5. The Conservatives' vote was 39 to 41.4," explained the president of Léger 360 on LCN.

Screenshot of TVA News

"In Quebec, 42% (PLC), 26% (BQ) and 24% (PCC), the result is 42% (PLC), 28% (BQ), 23% (PCC). That makes it perfect. Our work was good and it was fair. That means that what we told during the election campaign, the movement in favor of Mark Carney, the stability during the election, the return of the bloc in the final days of the campaign, was the real story of the campaign," he added.

Screenshot of TVA News

Pollsters often fear underestimating the Conservative vote, Mr. Léger also points out.

"(People) are embarrassed, they are often out of the loop, so they are harder to reach. Often, they don't go to vote. [...] The voting rate was still 67%, four points higher than last time. That means that young people, often right-wingers, went out to vote a little more in this election too. That makes all the small differences on the left and the right, but the Conservative vote was still more effective because they still picked up 25 more seats," he explains.

To see the full segment, watch the video above.