Historic low: Birth rate in the EU lower than in the USA for the first time

In 2024, for the first time, fewer babies were born in the European Union than in the United States. This despite having around 120 million more inhabitants.
For the first time since records began, fewer children were born in the European Union than in the United States. According to data from the European statistics office Eurostat, around 3.56 million babies were born in the EU in 2024, compared to around 3.62 million in the United States. The fact that Europe, with its approximately 120 million more inhabitants, is falling behind the United States for the first time is considered a turning point by demographers.
These figures continue a trend that has been accelerating for years. In Germany, fewer children were born in 2024 than in more than a decade, with the birth rate at 1.35 . Austria also recorded a record low: in 2024, the average number of children per woman was 1.3, the lowest figure since World War II. Developments are similarly dramatic in countries such as Italy (1.19), Spain (1.16), Greece (1.32), and Estonia (1.18), where birth rates have also been declining continuously for years.
Even countries like France (1.62) and Sweden (1.84), long praised as models of family-friendly policies, are experiencing declines. For a society to remain stable without migration, a birth rate of 2.1 children per woman would be needed. Starting at a rate of 1.0, a society halves its birth rate per generation.
For the first time in its history the EU recorded fewer births in 2024 than the US
Despite having an extra 120 million inhabitants pic.twitter.com/xQ5NZYfvLp
— François Valentin (@Valen10Francois) August 24, 2025
The comparison with the USA is particularly striking. There, too, the average number of children per woman is now at a historic low of around 1.6. Nevertheless, more babies were born in 2024 than in the entire EU. This could be due to the USA's significantly younger population overall and higher immigration. Women in America also have children earlier on average. According to media reports, the number of births among women over 40 has also increased. At the same time, a global comparison shows that Europe is not an exception. Birth rates are declining in almost all OECD countries. Worldwide, the average number of children per woman has more than halved since the 1960s. What consequences this will have for labor markets, social systems, and the political stability of countries remains unclear. The only thing that is certain is that recent developments mark a turning point after which the foundations of Western societies are likely to change in the long term.
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Berliner-zeitung